[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KKEY 271623
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Hurricane Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL092022
1223 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Conditions spreading into the Lower and Middle Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Monroe Upper Keys

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Monroe Lower Keys and Monroe Middle Keys
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Monroe Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 150 miles southwest of Key West FL or about 190 miles
      southwest of Marathon FL
    - 23.0N 83.5W
    - Storm Intensity 115 mph
    - Movement North or 5 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 1100 AM EDT, the center of Hurricane Ian was located just north of
the western tip of Cuba. Despite occasional wobbles, Ian is moving
toward the north near 10 mph, and this motion is expected to continue
today. A turn toward the north- northeast with a reduction in forward
speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the
center of Ian is expected to move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico,
pass west of the Florida Keys later today, and approach the west coast
of Florida on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph, and re-strengthening is
expected later today through Wednesday. Ian is forecast to approach the
west coast of Florida as an extremely dangerous major hurricane.

The threats and impacts to the Florida Keys have not changed despite
the slight adjustment to the track. These threats will include
damaging wind gusts from fast moving, severe squalls, storm surge
flooding 1 to 3 feet above normal high tides, 6 to 8 inches of
flooding rainfall with localized totals up to 10 inches, and isolated
tornadoes.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous winds having possible significant impacts
across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with minor
      damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
      buildings may experience window, door, and garage door
      failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
      Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Isolated power and communications outages possible.

* SURGE:
Protect against hazardous storm surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves.
    - Sections of secondary roads become weakened or washed out,
      especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Minor beach erosion.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rainfall
      flooding at low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
      streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains
      and retention ponds overflow. Some secondary road closures due
      to freshwater flooding.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile homes
      damaged, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted
      trees knocked over, and small boats pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Residents and visitors in campgrounds, recreational vehicles, travel
trailers, liveaboard vessels, and mobile homes should prepare to seek
shelter with friends or family in a safe structure throughout the
storm.

County government offices and Monroe County schools are closed today.

There will be no garbage service west of the Seven Mile Bridge today.

The Key West International Airport is closed to commercial airlines.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
  monroecountyem.com/jic
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 600 PM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$

CLR
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