[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Ian Local Statement Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Key West FL  AL092022
525 AM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

This product covers the Florida Keys

**Tropical Storm Warning issued for Middle Keys**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for the Middle Keys

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
      the Lower and Middle Keys
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for the Upper Keys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 200 miles southwest of Key West FL or about 240 miles
      southwest of Marathon FL
    - 22.3N 83.7W
    - Storm Intensity 125 mph
    - Movement North or 355 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 500 AM EDT, the center of Hurricane Ian was located about 5 miles
south of Pinar del Rio, Cuba or about 200 miles southwest of Key West.
Ian is moving towards the north, and this motion is expected to
continue today. A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduction in
forward speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Ian is expected to move over western Cuba during the
next few hours. Ian will then emerge over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico later this morning, pass west of the Florida Keys later today,
and approach the west coast of Florida on Wednesday and Wednesday
night.

Ian will pass west of the Florida Keys this afternoon and tonight as a
major hurricane with a large wind field extending well to the east of
the center of circulation. Threats will include damaging wind gusts
from fast moving, severe squalls, storm surge flooding 1 to 3 feet
above normal high tides, 4 to 6 inches of flooding rainfall with
localized totals up to 8 inches, and isolated tornadoes.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous winds having possible significant impacts
across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with minor
      damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
      buildings may experience window, door, and garage door
      failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
      Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Isolated power and communications outages possible.

* SURGE:
Protect against hazardous storm surge having possible significant
impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves.
    - Sections of secondary roads become weakened or washed out,
      especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Minor beach erosion.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rainfall
      flooding at low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
      streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains
      and retention ponds overflow. Some secondary road closures due
      to freshwater flooding.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Keys. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile
      homes damaged, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
      shallow rooted trees knocked over, and small boats pulled from
      moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Residents and visitors in campgrounds, recreational vehicles, travel
trailers, liveaboard vessels, and mobile homes should prepare to seek
shelter with friends or family in a safe structure throughout the
storm.

County government offices and Monroe County schools are closed today.

There will be no garbage service west of the Seven Mile Bridge today.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For Monroe County Emergency Management Information, see
monroecountyem.com/jic
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
- For Florida Division of Emergency Management information, see
floridadisaster.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Key West FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

LIW
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