[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Brownsville TX  AL142021
413 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

This product covers The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas

**NICHOLAS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
GULF COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Cameron, Coastal Kenedy, and Coastal Willacy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 250 miles south-southeast of Brownsville TX or about 290
      miles south-southeast of Port Mansfield TX
    - 22.8N 95.5W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas was located across the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico, moving north-northwest near 14 mph. Nicholas will pass near or
just off the lower Texas coast on Monday, before making landfall along
the middle Texas coast Monday night or early Tuesday. The biggest
impact expected across the lower Texas coast continues to be the
potential for flooding this evening into Monday night. A Flash Flood
Watch has been issued for Cameron, Willacy, and Kenedy counties with
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches and locally higher amounts. Tropical Storm
force wind gusts are possible Monday morning into Monday evening across
the lower Texas coast, including South Padre Island and Boca Chica.
Storm surge is expected to generally peak at 2 to 3 feet, with an
isolated 4 feet Monday afternoon into Monday night, with coastal
flooding and beach erosion possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across coastal to central portions of Deep South
Texas. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swift
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      arroyos, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across western portions of Deep South Texas.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across South Padre Island. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across coastal portions of Deep South Texas inland to near I69C.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the lower Texas coast. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots. Exposed parking lots become overspread with surge water.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. New
      shoreline cuts possible. Strong and numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across inland areas along the Laguna Madre.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across The Rio
Grande Valley and Deep South Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

Be sure to know the name of the city or town in which you are in and
the name of the county in which it resides. Listen for these
locations in local news updates. Pay attention for instructions from
local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Brownsville TX around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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