[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KCRP 121548
HLSCRP
TXZ233-234-245>247-342>347-442-443-447-130000-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX  AL142021
1048 AM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

This product covers South Texas

**TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Goliad, Inland
      Refugio, and Victoria
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Inland Kleberg and
      Inland San Patricio
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal
      Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland Calhoun
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal San Patricio,
      Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Goliad, Inland Refugio,
      and Victoria
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Inland Kleberg and Inland
      San Patricio
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Aransas Islands, Calhoun Islands, Coastal Aransas, Coastal
      Calhoun, Coastal Refugio, and Inland Calhoun
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Coastal Kleberg, Coastal Nueces, Coastal San Patricio,
      Kleberg Islands, and Nueces Islands

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 520 miles south-southeast of Port Aransas TX or about 560
      miles south of Port Oconnor TX
    - 20.5N 94.8W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 13 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas formed in the southwest Gulf of Mexico this
morning and will continue to move northward tonight. Nicholas is
forecast to pass near or just offshore of the Lower Texas Coast late on
Monday before making landfall somewhere along the Middle Texas Coast
late Monday night through Tuesday morning. Periods of heavy rain will
impact much of the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads through early
Tuesday resulting in rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches which could lead
to flash flooding at times. Storm surge inundation of 2 to 4 feet will
also be possible from late Monday through Tuesday morning. Tropical
storm force winds are most likely from Monday night through Tuesday
morning.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. Potential
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across remaining areas of South Texas.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across the immediate coast where the surge will be accompanied by
large and dangerous waves. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the bays and various inland waterways.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the South Texas coastal counties, including the Victoria Crossroads.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across portions of the Coastal Plains.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are
located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If
staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite
disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to
area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Corpus Christi TX around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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