[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KEWX 122113
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TXZ209-222>225-130515-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX  AL142021
413 PM CDT Sun Sep 12 2021

This product covers South Central Texas

**Tropical Storm Watch in Effect **

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for De Witt, Fayette,
      Gonzales, Karnes, and Lavaca

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for De Witt, Fayette,
      Gonzales, Karnes, and Lavaca

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 470 miles south-southeast of Hallettsville TX or about
      450 miles south-southeast of Cuero TX
    - 22.8N 95.5W
    - Storm Intensity 40 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 340 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Nicholas will move through the western Gulf of Mexico
tonight and Monday. The storm is expected to move inland over the
middle Texas coast Tuesday morning. Sustained tropical storm force
winds will be possible over Karnes, DeWitt, Lavaca, Gonzales, and
Fayette Counties, where we have issued a Tropical Storm Watch. Gusts to
tropical storm force are also possible around the periphery of this
area. Tropical storm force winds are forecast to arrive by Monday night
and continue through the day Tuesday. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall could lead to flooding in some areas Monday through Tuesday.
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are forecast, with locally higher
amounts possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals,
      usually dry creek beds, and ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some low water crossings could become flooded
      and turn deadly if attempting to pass through. Some road and
      bridge closures.

Elsewhere across South Central Texas, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Coastal Plains. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across South Central
Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - No mandatory evacuations are in effect. Follow
the instructions of local officials.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Austin/San Antonio TX around 1030 CDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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