[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 110231
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...FAY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS THE CENTER MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.0N 74.2W
ABOUT 15 MI...30 KM NW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning is discontinued south and west of East
Rockaway, New York.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East Rockaway New York to Watch Hill Rhode Island
including most of Long Island and Long Island Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 41.0 North, longitude 74.2 West.  Fay is
moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A northward to
north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected
tonight and Saturday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Fay will move across portions of southeastern New York tonight,
then across western New England into southeastern Canada on
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected as Fay moves
farther inland, and the system is expected to become a post-
tropical low on Saturday and dissipate on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
over water to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is
1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the
web at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.

RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with
isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern
Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and
portions of New England.  This rain may result in flash flooding and
urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest
amounts occur.  Widespread river flooding is not expected at this
time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor
flooding is possible.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area for the next several hours.

STORM SURGE:  Minor coastal flooding is possible in portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

Forecaster Beven
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