[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 110532
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020

...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.5N 74.0W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning from East Rockaway New York to Watch
Hill Rhode Island including most of Long Island and Long Island
Sound has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was
located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 74.0 West.  Fay is
moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A northward to
north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected
today and tonight.  On the forecast track, the center of Fay will
move across portions of eastern New York this morning, then
across western New England into southeastern Canada later today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is expected today, and the
system is expected to become a post-tropical low later this morning
and dissipate on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is
1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with
isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern
Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and
portions of New England.  This rain may result in flash flooding and
urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest
amounts occur.  Widespread river flooding is not expected at this
time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor
flooding is possible.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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