[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT31 KNHC 102342
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

...FAY WEAKENING AS THE CENTER MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN NEW
JERSEY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.1N 74.3W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...70 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Great Egg Inlet New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island
including Long Island and Long Island Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located over eastern New Jersey near latitude 40.1 North, longitude
74.3 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is
expected tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of
Fay will move near or over portions of the New Jersey coast this
evening and then move inland over southeastern New York and western
New England tonight and Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 45 mph (70 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional weakening is expected tonight, especially after
Fay moves farther inland. Fay is expected to weaken to a tropical
depression by Saturday morning and dissipate on Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km),
mainly over water to the east and southeast of the center.  NOAA
buoy 44065 recently reported sustained winds of 33 mph (54 km/h) and
a wind gust of 43 mph (68 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from surface observations is
1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the
web at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.

RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches along and near its track from
northern Delaware and eastern Pennsylvania northeast across New
Jersey, southeast New York, and portions of New England. This rain
could result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with
poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Rapid rises on
small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible, but
widespread river flooding is not expected.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread northward
within the warning area through tonight.

STORM SURGE:  Minor coastal flooding is possible in portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area.

TORNADOES:  An isolated tornado or two are possible this evening
across coastal areas of New Jersey, southeast New York, and
southern New England.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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