[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Oct 8 23:33:16 CDT 2018
WTUS84 KMOB 090432
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-091300-
Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL142018
1132 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**Hurricane Michael continues to strengthen and is expected to bring
impacts to the western Florida Panhandle and southern Alabama**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Mobile Inland
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Butler,
Conecuh, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Inland, and Monroe
- A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Covington, Mobile Central,
and Mobile Coastal
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Escambia Inland, Okaloosa
Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland
- A Hurricane Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect for
Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 540 miles south-southeast of Mobile AL or about 520 miles
south-southeast of Pensacola FL
- 23.2N 85.3W
- Storm Intensity 90 mph
- Movement North or 350 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Michael has strengthened slightly this evening with maximum
sustained winds of 90 mph as of 10 PM CDT. Michael is expected to
intensify to a major hurricane by Tuesday evening as it lifts northward
across the southeastern and eastern Gulf of Mexico. A northeastward
turn is expected late Tuesday night into Wednesday, and Michael is
forecast to make landfall as a major hurricane somewhere from the
Florida panhandle to the Florida Big Bend Region Wednesday. Wind impacts
associated with Michael can be expected, especially from late Tuesday
night into Wednesday. Storm surge inundation between 2 and 4 feet will
be possible from the Alabama and Florida state line eastward to the
Okaloosa Walton county line. Locally higher surge values will be
possible if a westward shift in track occurs. To the west from Navarre
Beach to the Alabama and Florida state line, coastal flooding with
inundation between 1 and 2 feet will be possible. Heavy rainfall and
an elevated threat of flash flooding will be possible mainly along and
to the southeast of Interstate 65.
Please continue to monitor the latest forecast and prepare now for
possible strong winds, storm surge flooding, and heavy rainfall.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating
impacts across southeastern Okaloosa county. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof
and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage
greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations
may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Widespread power and communications outages.
Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible limited
to extensive impacts across the remainder of the western Florida Panhandle
and portions of southern and southwestern Alabama.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in
this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across southwest Alabama.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across south central Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle, mainly along and southeast of Interstate 65. Potential
impacts include:
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
and overflow in spots.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
closures.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help
keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.
Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.
Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges
will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather
forecast before departing and drive with caution.
If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.
Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of
life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any
orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency
Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are
unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge zone.
Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find yourself
cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed evacuation
orders issued by the local authorities.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
$$
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