[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLIX 090918
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Hurricane Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL142018
418 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**Tropical Storm Watch in Effect Ahead of Hurricane Michael**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Hancock, Harrison, and
      Jackson

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 490 miles southeast of New Orleans LA or about 480 miles
      south-southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 24.1N 85.9W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...At 400 AM CDT, the center of Hurricane Michael was
located near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 85.9 West. Michael is
moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph.  A north-northwestward
to northward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a
northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Michael will continue to move over the southern
Gulf of Mexico this morning, then move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico later today and tonight.  The center of Michael is expected to
move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on
Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern United
States Wednesday night and Thursday.

The primary impact will be storm surge of 1 to 3 feet mainly along
the shores of coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain
and Maurepas outside of the hurricane protection levees, and east
facing shores of Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection levees.
Secondary impacts will be locally heavy rainfall of 1 to 2 inches over
portions of coastal Misissippi and Southeast Louisiana mainly south of
I-10, and wind gusts that could exceed tropical storm force over
portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across coastal Mississippi, the shores of Lake Pontchartrain and
Maurepas outside of hurricane protection levees, and east facing
shores of Southeast Louisiana outside of the hurricane protection
levees. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
eastern portions of coastal Mississippi and extreme Southeast
Louisiana. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off.
    - Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

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