[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sun Sep 4 11:06:49 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 041605
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-050015-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
1205 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**HERMINE STILL A THREAT TO CAUSE DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...
 SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE DELAWARE
 AND NEW JERSEY COASTS**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEW
      CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE
      BEACHES...MIDDLESEX...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...SALEM...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
      MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
      OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 350
      MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DOVER DE
    - 37.2N 69.6W
    - STORM INTENSITY 70 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 10 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
ALTHOUGH HERMINE HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A POST TROPICAL STORM,
THIS DOES NOT NECESSARILY LESSEN THE IMPACTS, AND THEY SHOULD BE
TAKEN JUST AS SERIOUSLY. HERMINE IS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM AND IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO OUR REGION AS IT MEANDERS
200 TO 300 MILES OFFSHORE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
SOME STRENGTHENING TO HURRICANE FORCE OVER THE WARM ATLANTIC
WATERS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS IN DELAWARE
AND NEW JERSEY THAT ARE NEAR THE COAST AS WELL AS ALONG THE DELAWARE
BAY AND RARITAN BAY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL
WATERS AND THE DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE NOW EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING, WHICH IS LATER
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT IT COULD LINGER INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING IF THE STORM IS SLOWER TO MAKE ITS TURN
NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA. THERE IS STILL REASONABLE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY SLIGHTLY FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE BUT
THE STRONGEST WINDS LOOKS TO BE CONFINED TO OFFSHORE AND NEAR THE
COAST.

MINOR TO ISOLATED MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING ALONG THE OCEANFRONT AND
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN BACK BAYS AND ALONG THE DELAWARE BAY.
DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL REACH THE COAST TONIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WITH THE HIGH TIDE
TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. A
REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO IS FOR MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING TO
OCCUR WITH THESE HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
POTENTIAL MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS WITH THE MONDAY HIGH TIDE
ALONG THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST INCLUDING BACK
BAYS, AS WELL AS ON THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE DELAWARE BAY.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS
THE AREA WITH THE FORECAST STORM TRACK TRENDING SLIGHTLY FARTHER
OFFSHORE.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND AND INTO MIDWEEK. SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. A HIGH
RIP CURRENT RISK AT THE BEACHES WILL POSE A SERIOUS THREAT TO LIFE
FOR ANY SWIMMERS THAT DECIDE TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE OCEAN.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ENHANCED BY WAVES. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS,
      MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS COULD
      BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE
      LOW SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING
      DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED AREAS.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS THE SHORES OF DELAWARE AND RARITAN BAYS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
COASTAL SECTIONS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - DAMAGE TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, SHEDS, AND UNANCHORED
      MOBILE HOMES IS POSSIBLE. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT OBJECTS COULD
      BE BLOWN AROUND.
    - MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS MAY BE BROKEN OFF. A FEW TREES COULD BE
      SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SOME FENCES AND ROADWAY SIGNS MAY BE BLOWN
      OVER.
    - A FEW ROADS COULD BE IMPASSABLE FROM DEBRIS. HAZARDOUS DRIVING
      CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROADWAYS.
    - SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, SUCH AS THOSE ON A BARRIER ISLAND, CONSIDER
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED.
RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN  ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT RESIDES. PAY
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net