[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Sat Sep 3 11:15:17 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 031614
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-040015-

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
1214 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**HERMINE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING AND
 STRONG WINDS NEAR THE DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY COASTS THIS LABOR
 DAY WEEKEND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MIDDLESEX

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MIDDLESEX
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEW
      CASTLE...KENT...INLAND SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN
      MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...SALEM...OCEAN...CUMBERLAND...ATLANTIC...CAPE
      MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL
      OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 210 MILES
      SOUTH OF DOVER DE
    - 36.1N 75.2W
    - STORM INTENSITY 65 MPH
    - MOVEMENT EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 15 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF THE OUTER BANKS OF
NORTH CAROLINA. HERMINE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND OFF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STORM IS THEN EXPECTED TO MEANDER
OFF THE DELMARVA AND NEW JERSEY COASTS SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NEW
JERSEY. OTHERWISE, A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF DELAWARE AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY FROM CAPE MAY TO SANDY HOOK AND
ALONG DELAWARE BAY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES THE COASTAL WATERS AND
ALL OF DELAWARE BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER LAND AREAS NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST AND THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS FARTHER
INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING
BACK WEST INTO THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE STARTING THIS EVENING. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY LATE
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. POCKETS OF MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY LATE MORNING,
PARTICULARLY ALONG THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST
INCLUDING BACK BAYS, AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE DELAWARE
BAY.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL, MAINLY EAST
OF THE THE I-95 CORRIDOR. SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST IN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY MAY RECEIVE 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THIS HOLIDAY
WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A HIGH RIP CURRENT
RISK CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES DURING THIS TIME. SIGNIFICANT
BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
THE SHORE OF DELAWARE BAY. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ENHANCED BY WAVES. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS,
      MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS COULD
      BECOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE
      LOW SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING
      DUNES. STRONG AND NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS IS
      ANTICIPATED. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED AREAS.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELWARE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS WILL
      EXPERIENCE WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES
      MAY BE DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES MAY BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES
      AND ROADWAY SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS. A FEW BRIDGES,
      CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES MAY BE IMPASSABLE.
    - THERE COULD BE SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT
      MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST HAZARDOUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS INLAND PARTS OF NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS
EASTERN MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

IF YOU ARE RELOCATING TO SAFE SHELTER, LEAVE AS EARLY AS POSSIBLE. IF
HEADING TO A COMMUNITY SHELTER, BECOME FAMILIAR WITH THE SHELTER
RULES BEFORE ARRIVAL, ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE SPECIAL NEEDS OR OWN A
PET. TAKE ESSENTIAL ITEMS WITH YOU FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST BEFORE DEPARTING.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT RESIDES. PAY
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
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