[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Fri Sep 2 11:24:30 CDT 2016

WTUS81 KPHI 021623
HLSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-030030-

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  AL092016
1223 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

**TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WILL IMPACT THE REGION OVER LABOR DAY WEEKEND
 AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MIDDLESEX

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MIDDLESEX
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND
      SUSSEX...DELAWARE BEACHES...WESTERN MONMOUTH...EASTERN
      MONMOUTH...OCEAN...ATLANTIC...CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE
      MAY...COASTAL ATLANTIC...COASTAL OCEAN AND SOUTHEASTERN
      BURLINGTON

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NJ OR ABOUT 620
      MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOVER DE
    - 31.9N 82.0W
    - STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS
ON SATURDAY AND OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STORM
IS THEN EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN OR STALL OFF THE DELMARVA AND NEW JERSEY
COASTS SUNDAY AND MONDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE AREA
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC COAST INCLUDING SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND COASTAL NEW JERSEY FROM
CAPE MAY TO SANDY HOOK. THIS WATCH ALSO INCLUDES COASTAL WATERS AND
THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY, AND NOW ALSO RARITAN BAY. SUSTAINED TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING
COASTAL WATERS AND TOWARD THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY. SOME TROPICAL STORM
FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FARTHER INLAND.

HAZARDOUS SEAS AND DANGEROUSLY ROUGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A MODERATE
TO HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES DURING THIS
TIME.

MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE FROM LATE SATURDAY ONWARD. SOME LOCALIZED MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING CAN NOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN THE BACK BAYS WHERE WATER
ACCUMULATES WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE HIGH TIDE. THE MAGNITUDE OF THE
COASTAL FLOODING WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE PATH AND STRENGTH OF
THE STORM. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL.
SOME AREAS NEAR THE COAST IN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY MAY
RECEIVE 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS, WHICH COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS
ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS OR AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING, INCLUDING
THE BACK BAYS. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINES AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS, OR IN
      AREAS FARTHER INLAND NEAR WHERE HIGHER SURGE WATERS MOVE ASHORE.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS COULD BECOME
      OVERSPREAD WITH SURGE WATER. DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE
      POSSIBLE IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.
    - MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SURF ALSO BREACHING
      DUNES, MAINLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS. STRONG RIP
      CURRENTS ARE ANTICIPATED.
    - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS,
      AND PIERS IS POSSIBLE. A FEW SMALL CRAFT MAY BE BROKEN AWAY
      FROM MOORINGS.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING FARTHER UP THE DELAWARE
BAY AND DELAWARE RIVER. SEEMINGLY MINOR SHIFTS TO THE STORM TRACK
COULD LEAD TO CONSIDERABLE CHANGES TO THE COASTAL FLOODING
POTENTIAL. ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS
NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST
MARYLAND. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
      TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. A FEW BUILDINGS WILL
      EXPERIENCE WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES. MOBILE HOMES
      MAY BE DAMAGED, ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
      OBJECTS COULD BECOME AIRBORNE.
    - SEVERAL LARGE TREES MAY BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. SEVERAL FENCES
      AND ROADWAY SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS MAY BE IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS. A FEW BRIDGES,
      CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS ROUTES MAY BE IMPASSABLE.
    - THERE COULD BE SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT
      MORE PREVALENT IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS.
      SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN
      AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN
      VULNERABLE SPOTS. RAPID PONDING OF WATER MAY OCCUR AT
      UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO
      OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND., LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

IF YOU LIVE IN A PLACE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING, SUCH AS
NEAR THE OCEAN, IN A LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREA, IN A VALLEY, OR
NEAR AN ALREADY SWOLLEN RIVER, PLAN TO MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER ON HIGHER
GROUND

ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS
THAT ARE ISSUED. DO NOT NEEDLESSLY JEOPARDIZE YOUR LIFE OR THE LIVES
OF OTHERS.

WHEN SECURING YOUR PROPERTY, OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCTED
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. THE ONSET OF
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE CERTAIN PREPAREDNESS
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME UNSAFE.

BE SURE TO LET FRIENDS AND OTHER FAMILY MEMBERS KNOW OF YOUR
INTENTIONS AND WHEREABOUTS FOR SURVIVING THE STORM. FOR EMERGENCY
PURPOSES, HAVE SOMEONE LOCATED AWAY FROM THE THREATENED AREA SERVE AS
YOUR POINT OF CONTACT. SHARE VITAL CONTACT INFORMATION WITH OTHERS.
KEEP CELL PHONES HANDY AND WELL CHARGED.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING TO
AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ AROUND 6 PM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net