[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMHX 072135
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-080545-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC  AL142016
535 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

**HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL IMPACT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CARTERET...ONSLOW...
      MARTIN...PITT...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...MAINLAND
      DARE...GREENE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND
      HYDE...DUPLIN...LENOIR...JONES...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...OUTER BANKS
      DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BUXTON NC OR ABOUT 390 MILES
      SOUTHWEST OF MOREHEAD CITY NC
    - 30.2N 80.7W
    - STORM INTENSITY 110 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

THE CENTER OF MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT, AND NEAR OR OVER THE
COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA ON SATURDAY. THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK KEEPS
MATTHEW JUST SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY.

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH INLAND AND 60 TO 70 MPH CRYSTAL
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING INLAND, AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST. THE TIMING OF
THE STRONGEST WINDS WOULD LIKELY BE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON,
PEAKING SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. THE VERY SATURATED GROUND
WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR DOWNED TREES, EVEN WITH GUSTS IN THE 40
TO 50 MPH RANGE, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
LEADING TO THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA. CURRENT PROJECTIONS ARE FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION. WITH
ALREADY SATURATED GROUND, THIS RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO CAUSE SERIOUS
FLOODING IN LOW-LYING AND URBAN AREAS. GIVEN THE ALREADY HIGH WATER
LEVELS ALONG THE RIVERS AND SOUNDS, RAINFALL WILL HAVE A DIFFICULT
TIME DRAINING, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL FLOODING IN
THESE AREAS AS WELL. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY AS TONIGHT
WELL AHEAD OF THE STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH MATTHEW.

MINOR TO MODERATE STORM SURGE IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE
MATTHEW. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS FOR INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
GROUND...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND
AND THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS, ALONG WITH SOUTHERN HATTERAS ISLAND
AND OCRACOKE.

HIGH SURF AND BREAKING WAVES WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MODERATE BEACH
EROSION AND MINOR TO MODERATE OCEAN OVERWASH. THE CRYSTAL COAST,
ESPECIALLY NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH, AND THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS WOULD
SEE THE WORSE EROSION, PEAKING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

OVER WASH AND SOUND SIDE FLOODING WILL LIKELY CAUSE ISSUES ON HIGHWAY
12 ON THE OUTER BANKS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. VULNERABLE AREAS
ALONG THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS SUCH AS KITTY HAWK AND DUCK COULD
ALSO EXPERIENCE EROSION AT MULTIPLE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.

VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED WITH SEAS OF 20 FEET OR GREATER. A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ON ALL AREA BEACHES AND IT IS
RECOMMENDED TO AVOID SWIMMING.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
DEVASTATING IMPACTS SOUTH OF THE PAMLICO RIVER. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - EXTREME RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT NUMEROUS EVACUATIONS AND
      RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY OVERWHELMINGLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS
      IN MANY PLACES WITH DEEP MOVING WATER. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS,
      CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME RAGING RIVERS. IN MOUNTAIN
      AREAS, DEADLY RUNOFF MAY RAGE DOWN VALLEYS WHILE INCREASING
      SUSCEPTIBILITY TO ROCKSLIDES AND MUDSLIDES. FLOOD CONTROL
      SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER NUMEROUS STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. NUMEROUS PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE
      ROUTES. STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF RAGING WATER
      WITH UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME VERY
      DANGEROUS. NUMEROUS ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED
      OR WASHED OUT.

PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS NORTH OF THE PAMLICO RIVER
AND ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS AREAS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND, INCLUDING
THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS, AS WELL AS ISOLATED LOCATIONS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE SOUND. IN ADDITION VULNERABLE OCEAN FRONT AREAS
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS AND NORTH OF RODANTHE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
      NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS AREAS ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AS WELL
AS PORTIONS OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.ENTER AREA DESCRIPTION.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS
ANTICIPATED.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS THE COAST SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS AND OVER LOCATIONS
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 70. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
      WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
      DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
      DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
      ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM
TROPICAL SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING
OFFICIALLY RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE
DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER,
LEAVE EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. ANY
RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH IT RESIDES. PAY
ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC AROUND MIDNIGHT EDT, OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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