[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 060944
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-061745-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  AL142016
544 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW CLOSING IN ON FLORIDA...
...STRONGEST HURRICANE TO AFFECT THIS AREA IN DECADES...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND VOLUSIA
      COUNTY...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...SOUTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST.
      LUCIE...MARTIN...COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY AND NORTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY
    - A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE
      COUNTY...SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 300
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
    - 24.2N 77.1W
    - STORM INTENSITY 125 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS, IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR OR OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COAST
OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY.

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS, LIFE-THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTAINING THE
STRONGEST WIND GUSTS, STORM SURGE AND HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS WILL MOVE
ALONG OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTLINE VERY
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.

WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE TO DEVASTATING WIND IMPACTS WILL BE FELT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS LOFTED BY EXTREME WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BREACHING
STRUCTURES, UNPROTECTED WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EFFECTS SUCH AS THESE
RANGING FROM THE COAST TO WELL INLAND HAVE NOT BEEN EXPERIENCED IN
CENTRAL FLORIDA IN DECADES.

LOCAL WINDS WILL EXCEED WHAT OCCURRED DURING THE HURRICANES OF
2004. ANY EVACUATIONS AND STRUCTURE PREPARATION SHOULD BE COMPLETED
THIS AFTERNOON. TRAVEL WILL BE STRONGLY DISCOURAGED BEGINNING AT DUSK.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.

INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, THE THREAT IS HIGH FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS FOR A PERIOD OF TIME FRIDAY MORNING WITH A HIGH THREAT FOR
STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FARTHER INLAND OVER LAKE COUNTY.

WITH AN EXPECTED TRACK CLOSE TO THE COASTLINE, THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE
THREATENING STORM SURGE FLOODING IS HIGH. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO
7 FEET IS EXPECTED ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF VOLUSIA AND BREVARD
COUNTIES, WITH 3 TO 5 FEET OF INUNDATION EXPECTED OVER MARTIN AND
SAINT LUCIE COUNTY BARRIER ISLANDS.

LARGE BREAKING WAVES ALONG BEACHES WILL PEAK BETWEEN 12 TO 18 FEET AND
PRODUCE ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT HAZARD OF
COASTAL FLOODING FROM DUNE BREACHING, ALONG WITH VERY SEVERE BEACH
SCOURING AND SAND DUNE EROSION. COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE AGGRAVATED BY
HIGH TIDE ESPECIALLY IN VOLUSIA COUNTY.

SIGNIFICANT DOWNWIND PILING AND SURGING OF WATER WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY, LAGOONS, AND INLETS. THE CLOSE APPROACH OF
MATTHEW'S EYE TO THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST MEANS PROPERTIES
FACING EAST AND WEST ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO WIND DRIVEN PILING OF WATER. ADDITIONALLY, WIND DRIVEN
PILING OF WATER WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE BANKS OF THE SAINT JOHNS
RIVER IN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

HEAVY RAIN, ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS, WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
FREQUENCY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. SATURATED SOILS IN MANY AREAS
FROM HEAVY SEPTEMBER AND EARLY OCTOBER RAINFALL WILL HOLD VERY LITTLE
ADDITIONAL WATER BEFORE WATER QUICKLY BEGINS TO POND, ESPECIALLY IN
LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS. STANDING WATER WILL BE CAPABLE OF QUICKLY
RISING, ESPECIALLY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS, AND COULD ENTER HOMES AND
BUSINESSES DURING MATTHEW'S PASSAGE.

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER. TAKE ACTIONS TO ENSURE YOUR READINESS PLANS HAVE
BEEN COMPLETED.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING
IMPACTS ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
      AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
      GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
      MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

* SURGE:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - LARGE AREAS OF DEEP INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING
      ACCENTUATED BY BATTERING WAVES. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS,
      WITH SEVERAL WASHING AWAY. DAMAGE COMPOUNDED BY FLOATING
      DEBRIS. LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD.
    - LARGE SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS
      MAY BE WASHED OUT OR SEVERELY FLOODED. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS
      AND BARRIERS MAY BECOME STRESSED.
    - SEVERE BEACH EROSION WITH SIGNIFICANT DUNE LOSS.
    - MAJOR DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
      COASTAL STRUCTURES. MANY SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS,
      ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES WITH SOME LIFTED ONSHORE
      AND STRANDED.

ALSO, PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE COAST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - MAJOR RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT MANY EVACUATIONS AND RESCUES.
    - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY RAPIDLY OVERFLOW THEIR BANKS IN
      MULTIPLE PLACES. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY
      BECOME DANGEROUS RIVERS. FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEMS AND BARRIERS MAY
      BECOME STRESSED.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER MANY STRUCTURES WITHIN MULTIPLE
      COMMUNITIES, SOME STRUCTURES BECOMING UNINHABITABLE OR WASHED
      AWAY. MANY PLACES WHERE FLOOD WATERS MAY COVER ESCAPE ROUTES.
      STREETS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME RIVERS OF MOVING WATER WITH
      UNDERPASSES SUBMERGED. DRIVING CONDITIONS BECOME DANGEROUS.
      MANY ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES WITH SOME WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT.

* TORNADOES:
PROTECT AGAINST A DANGEROUS TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS
INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH A FEW
      LOCATIONS SEEING CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE, POWER LOSS, AND
      COMMUNICATIONS FAILURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS
SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE
WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS
FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT. LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING
AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN. OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER OR TO THE HOME OF A FAMILY MEMBER
OR FRIEND, DRIVE WITH EXTRA CAUTION, ESPECIALLY ON SECONDARY ROADS.
REMEMBER, MANY BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS WILL BE CLOSED ONCE HIGHER WINDS
ARRIVE. ALSO, IF YOU ENCOUNTER WATER COVERING THE ROAD, SEEK AN
ALTERNATE ROUTE. ALWAYS OBEY OFFICIAL ROAD SIGNS FOR CLOSURES AND
DETOURS.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 12 PM, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$
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