[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMLB 042212
HLSMLB
FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-050615-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL  AL142016
612 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW TO APPROACH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BREVARD
      COUNTY...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...ST. LUCIE...MARTIN AND
      NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FL OR ABOUT 650
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT PIERCE FL
    - 19.8N 74.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 140 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE BETWEEN CUBA AND HAITI AND IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LATEST
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO INDICATE
MATTHEW WILL TURN NORTHWEST OVER THE BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY AND
PARALLEL THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AS A MAJOR HURRICANE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

THE OVERALL THREAT FROM MATTHEW TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS
SERIOUS AND HAS INCREASED RELATIVE TO THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE TREASURE COAST, SPREADING NORTH AND NORTHWEST
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY, INCLUDING
THE INTERIOR COUNTIES OF OKEECHOBEE, OSCEOLA, ORANGE, SEMINOLE AND
LAKE. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF HURRICANE MATTHEW AND ITS FORECASTED
CLOSE APPROACH TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST, HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN MARTIN, SAINT LUCIE, INDIAN RIVER, BREVARD AND
VOLUSIA COUNTIES. THE MAIN WINDOW OF CONCERN FOR STRONG TO
DAMAGING WINDS IS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

AN ELEVATED TO MODERATE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS STORM SURGE
INUNDATION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IS POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR DANGEROUS STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
GROUND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST. LARGE
BREAKING WAVES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK OVER 12 FEET AND PRODUCE
ROUGH, POUNDING SURF RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF COASTAL
FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE
THE CORE OF MATTHEW TRACKS. A HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT MAY
DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. MANY SOILS ARE
SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY
PRODUCE WATER PONDING.

ANY FURTHER SHIFTS TO THE LEFT OF THE CURRENT FORECAST WOULD
INCREASE THE ASSOCIATED THREATS FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW. RESIDENTS
AND VISITORS TO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE LATEST TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE DEVASTATING IMPACTS
ACROSS THE COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, SOME WITH COMPLETE ROOF
      AND WALL FAILURES. COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES. DAMAGE
      GREATLY ACCENTUATED BY LARGE AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS
      MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS OR MONTHS.
    - NUMEROUS LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. MANY BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
      ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - WIDESPREAD POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
TO EXTENSIVE IMPACTS ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS THE BARRIER ISLANDS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
      NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, PIERS, AND OTHER
      COASTAL STRUCTURES. SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM
      MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

* FLOODING RAIN:
PREPARE FOR RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE
COAST AND THE EXPECTED TRACK OF HURRICANE MATTHEW. POTENTIAL
IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES WILL OVERFLOW.
    - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
      SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
      INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
      AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
      STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
      WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS WITH SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* TORNADOES:
PREPARE FOR A TORNADO EVENT HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED IMPACTS ACROSS
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
    - THE OCCURRENCE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN HINDER THE EXECUTION
      OF EMERGENCY PLANS DURING TROPICAL EVENTS.
    - A FEW PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE TORNADO DAMAGE, ALONG WITH POWER
      AND COMMUNICATIONS DISRUPTIONS.
    - LOCATIONS COULD REALIZE ROOFS PEELED OFF BUILDINGS, CHIMNEYS
      TOPPLED, MOBILE HOMES PUSHED OFF FOUNDATIONS OR OVERTURNED,
      LARGE TREE TOPS AND BRANCHES SNAPPED OFF, SHALLOW-ROOTED TREES
      KNOCKED OVER, MOVING VEHICLES BLOWN OFF ROADS, AND SMALL BOATS
      PULLED FROM MOORINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND TAKE NECESSARY
ACTIONS TO SECURE YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. DELIBERATE EFFORTS SHOULD BE
UNDERWAY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. ENSURE THAT YOUR EMERGENCY
SUPPLIES KIT IS STOCKED AND READY.

WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS, DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES
WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

VISITORS TO THE AREA SHOULD BECOME FAMILIAR WITH NEARBY SURROUNDINGS.
IF YOU ARE A VISITOR, KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY IN WHICH YOU ARE
LOCATED AND WHERE IT IS RELATIVE TO CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS. IF
STAYING AT A HOTEL, ASK THE MANAGEMENT STAFF ABOUT THEIR ONSITE
DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN FOR EVACUATION ORDERS, ESPECIALLY PERTAINING
TO AREA VISITORS.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL AROUND 12 AM EDT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

ULRICH
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