[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 042145
HLSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-050545-

HURRICANE MATTHEW LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL  AL142016
545 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THIS PRODUCT COVERS SOUTH FLORIDA

**DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BROWARD COUNTY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
      A HURRICANE WATCH.
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GLADES...HENDRY...
      INLAND COLLIER...AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND PALM
      BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH...INLAND BROWARD...METRO
      BROWARD...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD.
    - A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
      GLADES...HENDRY...INLAND COLLIER...INLAND MIAMI-DADE...METRO
      MIAMI-DADE...COASTAL MIAMI-DADE AND FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL OR ABOUT 560
      MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL
    - 19.8N 74.3W
    - STORM INTENSITY 140 MPH
    - MOVEMENT NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

DANGEROUS HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE EASTERN TIP OF
CUBA TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE INTO THE BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY. THE STORM IS
THEN FORECAST TO APPROACH THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA THURSDAY. THE
THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAS INCREASED ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTH FLORIDA, AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS CANNOT BE RULED OUT
PARTICULARLY OVER PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES INCLUDING THE LAKE
OKEECHOBEE REGION. THE MAIN WINDOW OF CONCERN FOR STRONG WINDS IS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY.

ANOTHER CONCERN IS AN ELEVATED TO MODERATE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS STORM
SURGE INUNDATION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN VULNERABLE SPOTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. GREATEST THREAT IS ACROSS NORTHEAST PORTIONS
OF PALM BEACH COUNTY BUT IT COULD INCREASE ELSEWHERE IF THE FORECAST
TRENDS CLOSER TO THE COAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL EROSION AND ROUGH SURF WILL BE A CONCERN FROM EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

LESSER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME INCLUDE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES ALTHOUGH LOCAL FLOODING DUE TO RAIN BANDS WILL BE A
CONCERN. ANY FURTHER SHIFTS TO THE LEFT OF THE CURRENT FORECAST COULD
INCREASE THE THREAT SO RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INFORMED WITH THE
LATEST INFORMATION.

RESIDENTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA ARE URGED TO REVIEW THEIR PREPAREDNESS
PLANS NOW AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING WIND HAVING POSSIBLE EXTENSIVE IMPACTS
ACROSS MUCH OF PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN
THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME HAVING
      WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO STRUCTURAL
      DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME DESTROYED.
      DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES. LOCATIONS MAY BE
      UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
    - MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
      ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
    - SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
      OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND
      ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
    - LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES. SOME WINDOWS
      MAY BE SHATTERED BY FLYING DEBRIS, PARTICULARLY IN HIGH RISE
      BUILDINGS OR THOSE WINDOWS NOT IMPACT RESISTANT.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED TO
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA AWAY FROM
THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...HOWEVER THIS COULD CHANGE IF
THE FORECAST STORM TRACK TRENDS MORE TO THE WEST.

* SURGE:
PREPARE FOR LIFE-THREATENING SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST PALM BEACH COUNTY CONFINED TO THE
IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS AREA INCLUDE:
    - AREAS OF INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING ACCENTUATED BY
      WAVES. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS, MAINLY NEAR THE COAST.
    - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ESCAPE ROUTES AND SECONDARY ROADS BECOME
      WEAKENED OR WASHED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE LOW
      SPOTS.
    - MAJOR BEACH EROSION WITH HEAVY SURF BREACHING DUNES. STRONG AND
      NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS.
    - MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS.
      SEVERAL SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS, ESPECIALLY IN
      UNPROTECTED ANCHORAGES.

ALSO, PREPARE FOR LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SURGE HAVING POSSIBLE LIMITED
IMPACTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE IMMEDIATE ATLANTIC COASTLINE
FROM CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY TO MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...INCLUDING
VULNERABLE LOCATIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA, LITTLE TO NO IMPACT IS ANTICIPATED
AT THIS TIME.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN AS HURRICANE MATTHEW PASSES EAST OF THE AREA IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH EROSION FROM HIGH WAVES AND DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BEACHES. MAIN WINDOW OF CONCERN
IS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR BEACH EROSION AND HIGH WAVES WITH A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS LINGERING INTO THE WEEKEND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO CHECK YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN AND BE READY TO ACT SHOULD
WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY. WHEN MAKING SAFETY AND PREPAREDNESS DECISIONS,
DO NOT FOCUS ON THE  EXACT FORECAST TRACK AS THERE ARE INHERENT FORECAST
UNCERTAINTIES WHICH MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- VISIT US AT WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE FLGETAPLAN.COM
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI FL AROUND MIDNIGHT, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

$$

KS/PS
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