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WTNT34 KNHC 111451
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 11 2011

...CENTER OF MARINA PASSING JUST NORTH OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...STRONG WINDS REMAIN WELL NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 64.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNE OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM ENE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF MARIA.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST.  MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
MARIA WILL GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST
OF THE CENTER.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325
KM...TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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