[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT35 KNHC 111450
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152011
1000 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...NATE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST NORTH
OF BARRA DE NAUTLA IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 96.8W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM N OF BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. NATE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
NATE WILL CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY...AND DISSIPATE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND IN A SMALL AREA NEAR
THE CENTER OF NATE.

RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN



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