[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT34 KNHC 081443
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL042010
1100 AM AST SUN AUG 08 2010

...COLIN MOVING NEAR BERMUDA...WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 65.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
65.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12
MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FURTHER INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
COLIN WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLAND LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  HOWEVER...COLIN COULD DEGENERATE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
BERMUDA TODAY.

STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME COASTAL FLOODING
AND LARGE WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING
BEACHES.

RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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