[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 242336
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION WITH THE BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN
PUERTO RICO AND THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES.  ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS...CONVENTIONAL AND
REMOTELY-SENSED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT
HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMORROW OR ON TUESDAY AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY.

DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN



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