[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KWNH 242235
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PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 37 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL062008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...FAY STALLING OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...SOUTHEASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF
FLORIDA. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND
MAUREPAS IN LOUISIANA.

AT 400 PM CDT...21Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST...OR ABOUT
75 MILES..120 KM...SOUTH OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI AND 90 MILES...145
KM... NORTH OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY OR DRIFTING OFF TO THE SOUTH
AND WEST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL KEEP FAY STALLED FOR ANOTHER 12
TO 24 HOURS BEFORE ADVANCING TO THE NORTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI OR WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA BY TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH..40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 PM CDT

...ALABAMA...

CAMDEN 1.0 NNE                        6.55
CLIO 0.2 SSW                          6.26
EUFAULA 1.0 SSE                       6.26
TROY 1.5 ESE                          6.16
WETUMPKA 5.0 SE                       6.14
VALLEY 0.4 NNW                        6.11
LADONIA 13.2 SSW                      5.90
ALEXANDER CITY 10.0 SW                5.77
CLOPTON 0.1 SW                        5.71
SYLACAUGA 9.2 S                       5.65
TROY                                  5.65
OZARK                                 5.41
MONTGOMERY                            3.69
BIRMINGHAM                            3.34
TUSCALOOSA                            1.99

...FLORIDA...

MELBOURNE BEACH 3.9 SSE              25.28
COCOA BEACH                          24.38
CAPE CANAVERAL                       22.83
DELTONA                              22.69
SATELLITE BEACH                      22.40
PALM SHORES 1.4 W                    21.44
PALM BAY 1.0 NE                      21.00
DELTONA 2.9 SE                       20.94
PALM SHORES 4.3 NNW                  20.85
MELBOURNE 7.0 NW                     20.57
ORANGE CITY                          19.81
HILLIARD 5.4 NW                      19.70
PALM SHORES 2.9 NW                   19.64
TALLAHASSEE 5.7 SE                   19.17
MALABAR 2.9 NNW                      19.00
TALLAHASSEE 14.2 NE                  18.30
WACISSA 1.1 SW                       18.09
TALLAHASSEE 6.1 SE                   18.07
MELBOURNE 1.1 N                      18.05
SANFORD 0.4 ENE                      18.03

...GEORGIA...

THOMASVILLE 2.8 E                    17.43
COOLIDGE 3.2 SSW                     12.03
MOULTRIE 6.2 SW                       9.45
MEIGS 8.3 E                           9.33
BLUFTON 0.2 N                         9.02
VALDOSTA (MOODY AFB)                  8.27
ALBANY 3.7 NE                         8.25
HARIRA 3.6 SE                         7.87
TIFTON 5.6 SW                         7.76
FOLKSTON 2.4 E                        7.51
MOULTRIE 10.0 ESE                     7.21
LAKE PARK 2.8 W                       7.11
ALBANY 8.0 ESE                        6.81
OMEGA 4.7 NW                          6.72
ST. MARYS 1.4 SW                      6.49

...LOUISIANA...

NEW ORLEANS (NEW)                     1.24
BOOTHVILLE                            1.16
LAFAYETTE                             0.23

...MISSISSIPPI...



MERIDIAN NAS/MCCAIN                   1.56
MERIDIAN/KEY FIELD                    1.55
JACKSON WFO                           1.51
MCCOMB/LEWIS FIELD                    1.30
NATCHEZ/HARDY                         1.27
JACKSON/HAWKINS FIELD                 1.23
HATTIESBURG/LAUREL                    1.07


...SOUTH CAROLINA...

BEAUFORT                              5.84
MEGGET 1.8 W                          4.97
FOLLY BEACH 1.9 WNW                   4.63
CHARLESTON 4.6 SSE                    4.52
BLUFTON 2.3 NNE                       4.37
BLUFTON 6.2 WNW                       4.29
BLUFTON 2.4 NNW                       4.29
BLUFTON 1.9 N                         4.09
CHARLESTON 6.4 NW                     4.01
JOHNS ISLAND 9.0 SE                   4.01
CHARLESTON                            2.67


TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ALABAMA...PORTIONS OF
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN GEORGIA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. LIGHTER RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE... EASTERN
GEORGIA... WESTERN NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA INTO GEORGIA AND ALABAMA. IN FACT...A TORNADO WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA UNTIL 1000
PM EDT OR 900 PM CDT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...31.3 N...89.9 W.
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE OR WEATHER.GOV FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION ON FAY.

MUSHER

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 24/2100Z 31.3N 89.9W
12HR VT 25/0600Z 31.2N 90.4W
24HR VT 25/1800Z 31.7N 90.0W
36HR VT 26/0600Z 32.5N 88.9W
48HR VT 26/1800Z 33.4N 87.8W
72HR VT 27/1800Z 36.0N 85.0W...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 28/1800Z 39.0N 82.5W...REMNANT LOW
$$


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