[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 210244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
AS FAY SITS JUST OFFSHORE...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT
PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER
BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES...60 KM...SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT
OR EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND NEAR OR ALONG THE GULF
COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER
WATER TONIGHT AND VERY EARLY TOMORROW...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST ON THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN



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