[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KKEY 180646
HLSKEY

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
246 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS WESTERN CUBA THIS MORNING AND MOVE
NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES CUBA...AND FAY
COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT NEARS THE FLORIDA
KEYS TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 29.56 INCHES.

GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-181000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
246 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 2 AM ADVISORY.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON TODAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON... AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON FLIGHTS THIS MORNING ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL CARS
REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST THIS MORNING AT 855 AM. TOLLS ON CARD
SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY TODAY. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL
NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST THIS MORNING...BUT SERVICE
WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE
ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE PICKUP
THIS MORNING. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS
OPERATIONAL AT 800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

A LARGE RAIN BAND OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE RAIN BAND. OTHERWISE...EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT
10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE PORTIONS OF THE KEYS BEGINNING
THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE KEYS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. SOME SHINGLES AND SMALL
PORTIONS OF ROOFING WILL BE BLOWN OFF...AND SOME POORLY CONSTRUCTED
SIGNS WILL BE DAMAGED. LARGE BRANCHES WILL BREAK OFF TREES. SOME
TREES MAY BE UPROOTED IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH
AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER
OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS EARLY THIS MORNING...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

FLZ076>078-181000-
/O.CON.KKEY.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
246 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

STORM INFORMATION UPDATED FOR THE 2 AM ADVISORY.
WIND INFORMATION UPDATED.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.
A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL KEYS CITY AND COUNTY OFFICES WILL BE CLOSED TODAY...EXCEPT
ISLAMORADA WHICH WILL CLOSE AT NOON TODAY. THE FOLLOWING KEYS
SHELTERS ARE NOW OPEN...KEY WEST HIGH SCHOOL AT 2100 FLAGLER
AVENUE...SUGARLOAF ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 19...STANLEY
SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL AT 3400 OVERSEAS HIGHWAY IN MARATHON... AND
CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL AT MILE MARKER 89 ON PLANTATION KEY. MOBILE
HOME RESIDENTS AND THOSE IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND BOAT LIVE-ABOARDS
SHOULD EVACUATE TO THESE SHELTERS. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
PLANS TO CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH THIS MORNING...HOWEVER ALMOST
ALL SEATS ON FLIGHTS THIS MORNING ARE FULL. THERE ARE NO RENTAL CARS
REMAINING IN KEY WEST. GREYHOUND HAS SEATS AVAILABLE ON A BUS
SCHEDULED TO LEAVE KEY WEST THIS MORNING AT 855 AM. TOLLS ON CARD
SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES...SUCH AS
RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
PRIOR TO MIDDAY TODAY. THE SNAKE CREEK DRAWBRIDGE...IN ISLAMORADA...WILL
NOT OPEN TO MARINE VESSELS...UPON THE ARRIVAL OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS. THE PORT OF KEY WEST IS NOW CLOSED. ALL MONROE COUNTY
SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. WASTE MANAGEMENT IS
PLANNING REGULAR TRASH PICKUP IN KEY WEST THIS MORNING...BUT SERVICE
WILL BE SUSPENDED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS REACH 35 MPH. RESIDENTS ARE
ASKED TO SECURE TRASH BINS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE AFTER THE PICKUP
THIS MORNING. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION PHONE LINE IS
OPERATIONAL AT 800-955-5504...AND THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS ALSO OPERATIONAL AT 305-809-1108.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY FROM
THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE STORM
SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE. THE
FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM TODAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM TUESDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM TODAY...10:53 PM TONIGHT...11:05 AM TUESDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM TODAY...10:57 PM TONIGHT...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10:44 AM TODAY...11:03 PM TONIGHT...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...

A LARGE RAIN BAND OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH LOCAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE RAIN BAND. OTHERWISE...EAST WINDS WILL REMAIN AT
10 TO 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO IMPACT THE PORTIONS OF THE KEYS BEGINNING
THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE KEYS TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

THESE WINDS ARE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO UNANCHORED MOBILE
HOMES...PORCHES...CARPORTS AND AWNINGS. SOME SHINGLES AND SMALL
PORTIONS OF ROOFING WILL BE BLOWN OFF...AND SOME POORLY CONSTRUCTED
SIGNS WILL BE DAMAGED. LARGE BRANCHES WILL BREAK OFF TREES. SOME
TREES MAY BE UPROOTED IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. LOOSE OBJECTS...SUCH
AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE WILL BE EASILY BLOWN AROUND AND CAN
BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. WINDS WILL BE DANGEROUS ON BRIDGES AND
CAUSEWAYS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. A FEW POWER
OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 62 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 46 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCAL MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP
TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE
PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD PONDING
OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...

WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FORECAST TO IMPACT THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...MARINERS SHOULD
FINISH PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PROTECT THEMSELVES AND THEIR
VESSELS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA
STRAITS EARLY THIS MORNING...LIKELY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS. IN ADDITION...LINES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 600 AM...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

JACOBSON






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