[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT72 KNHC 300232
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU SEP  1 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

39.4N  84.1W      35  1  X  X 36   PORTLAND ME        X  X  7  3 10
42.5N  80.0W       1 20  3  X 24   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  4  5  9
46.0N  73.5W       X  X 12  2 14   EASTPORT ME        X  X  2  6  8
NORFOLK VA         X  1  1  X  2   ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  7  8
OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  2  1  4   MONCTON NB         X  X  1  6  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  2  4  X  6   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  5  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  7  X  8   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  5  5
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  6  1  7   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  6  2  8   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  4  2  6   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  4  4
HYANNIS MA         X  X  5  2  7   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  3  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  7  2  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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