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WTNT31 KNHC 251854
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  48B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
3 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

... EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE RELENTLESSLY BATTERING THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS..

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.

AT 3 PM EDT...1900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST ABOUT 40 MILES...65
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THIS POSITION
IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH
FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS NOW MOVING A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL CONTINUE NEAR OR
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...AND APPROACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY
SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

JEANNE IS DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM....MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
953 MB...28.14 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL OCCURRING NEAR
THE CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO
4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.  A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE
THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE
OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLE REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS
...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA
PENINSULA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 3 PM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 78.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

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