[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 25 14:13:57 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KEYW 251913
HLSEYW
FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-252200-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
315 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION OF MOBILE HOMES RECOMMENDED FOR THE MIDDLE
AND UPPER KEYS...
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
KEYS INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
UPDATED STORM INFORMATION.
EMPHASIZED ONLY THAT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MIDDLE
AND UPPER KEYS AND FLORIDAY BAY AT THIS TIME.
REFRESHED TIMING OF WIND IMPACTS.
REFRESHED TIMING OF MARINE IMPACTS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING THE
ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS AND FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
WITHIN 36 HOURS. THERE ARE NO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT ANY
PORTION OF THE FLORIDA KEYS NOR FLORIDA BAY AT THIS TIME.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 300 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES
NORTHEAST OF KEY LARGO...AND ABOUT 125 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF VERO
BEACH. JEANNE IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL LATE TONIGHT. JEANNE IS
MOVING A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CORE OF JEANNE WILL CONTINUE NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND APPROACH THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS MEASURED AT 953 MB...OR 28.14 INCHES OF
MERCURY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AS OF 300 PM...MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS RECOMMENDING A
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL MOBILE HOMES BETWEEN THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE TO THE MONROE DADE COUNTY LINE. EMERGENCY SHELTERS WILL BE
OPEN IN THE UPPER KEYS...AT THE KEY LARGO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL...AND IN
THE MIDDLE KEYS...AT THE STANLEY SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. THERE
ARE NO MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDERS IN EFFECT FOR THE KEYS AT THIS
TIME. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JEANNE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH WITH BRIEFLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE ISLANDS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL OCCUR
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE...
MAINLY IN GUSTS. TRAVEL FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT...INTO MOST OF
SUNDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SMALL CRAFT WITHIN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE UPPER AND MIDDLE KEYS TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...WINDS OF 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS. SEAS WILL BE 8 TO 11 FEET OUTSIDE THE REEF...AND 2 TO 4 FEET
INSIDE THE REEF. FLORIDA BAY AND NEARSHORE WATERS WILL BE EXTREMELY
ROUGH.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY MEASURED AROUND ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ON THE
BAYSIDE OF MARATHON. WATER LEVELS UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES
ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN FLORIDA BAY ON SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
AROUND JEWFISH CREEK. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS
EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WITH THE PASSAGE OF HURRICANE JEANNE.
UPCOMING HIGH TIDES AT VACA CUT WILL OCCUR AT 8:03 THIS
EVENING...AND 7:49 SUNDAY MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE JEANNE
IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM EDT.

$$

RIZZO














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