[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 232028
SPFAT1
HURRICANE JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN SEP 26 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.8N  73.4W      44  X  X  X 44   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3
25.8N  75.5W      12 18  X  X 30   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2
26.1N  77.8W       X 12 10  1 23   KEY WEST FL        X  X  3  7 10
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  1  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  5  9 14
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  3  4   FT MYERS FL        X  X  4 10 14
MYSM 241N 745W    12  5  X  X 17   VENICE FL          X  X  2 12 14
MYEG 235N 758W     1  8  1  X 10   TAMPA FL           X  X  1 13 14
MYAK 241N 776W     X  8  5  1 14   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 12 12
MYNN 251N 775W     X 14  5  1 20   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  9  9
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3 15  3 21   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  9  9
MARATHON FL        X  X  6  6 12   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  8  8
MIAMI FL           X  X 11  5 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X 12  6 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  9  8 17   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  5 11 16   BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2 12 14   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X 11 11   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  9  9
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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