[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 232028
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 23 2004

...JEANNE MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
...EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD BY FRIDAY...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.

INTERESTS ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JEANNE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.3 WEST OR ABOUT  425
MILES... 680 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  966 MB...28.53 INCHES.

DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...25.9 N... 70.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 966 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


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