[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 16 15:42:38 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 162042
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SUN SEP 19 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.4N  72.3W      45  X  X  X 45   MYNN 251N 775W     X  1 11  8 20
21.4N  73.9W      20 13  X  1 34   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3 13 16
22.5N  75.0W       2 24  2  1 29   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  9  9
MDSD 185N 697W    99  X  X  X 99   MIAMI FL           X  X  1 11 12
MDCB 176N 714W     4  X  1  X  5   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 12 13
MTPP 186N 724W    23  X  1  X 24   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 12 12

AL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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