[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 16 15:42:39 CDT 2004
WTNT71 KNHC 162042
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN SEP 19 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.4N 72.3W 45 X X X 45 MYNN 251N 775W X 1 11 8 20
21.4N 73.9W 20 13 X 1 34 MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 13 16
22.5N 75.0W 2 24 2 1 29 MARATHON FL X X X 9 9
MDSD 185N 697W 99 X X X 99 MIAMI FL X X 1 11 12
MDCB 176N 714W 4 X 1 X 5 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 12 13
MTPP 186N 724W 23 X 1 X 24 FT PIERCE FL X X X 12 12
MTCA 183N 738W 9 3 1 1 14 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 10 10
MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 2 3 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 8 8
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 2 3 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 5 5
MUGM 200N 751W 7 12 1 1 21 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W X 2 7 5 14 CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 5 6 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X X 6 6
MDPP 198N 707W 72 X X X 72 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 8 8
MBJT 215N 712W 34 X X X 34 FT MYERS FL X X X 7 7
MYMM 224N 730W 18 13 X X 31 VENICE FL X X X 6 6
MYSM 241N 745W X 17 6 2 25 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
MYEG 235N 758W X 14 9 2 25 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X 2 12 6 20 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
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