[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 162041
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004

...JEANNE A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.   THESE HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM
LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM... NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE
CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE
STRENGTH AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA. A SUSTAINED
WIND TO 69 MPH...111 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED AT LA ROMANA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AT 4 PM AST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE DAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A
RAINBAND TRAILING THE CENTER OF JEANNE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WHERE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N... 69.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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