[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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WTNT31 KNHC 160853
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 16 2004

...JEANNE NEARING NORTHEAST COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN
COASTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM LA PLATA SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM WEST OF PUERTO
PLATA WESTWARD TO MONTE CRISTO AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...
AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

AT 5 AM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING
THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.1 WEST OR ABOUT
10 MILES ...15 KM...EAST OF CABO ENGANO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC OR 270
MILES... 435 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH...15
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS JEANNE HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES... 65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO
RICO DURING THE DAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.  SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED
MORE THAN A FOOT OF RAIN...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...WITH NAGUABO IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ISLAND HAVING
RECEIVED MORE THAN 20 INCHES OF RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER PUERTO RICO.  MANY RIVERS ON PUERTO RICO ARE ALREADY AT OR
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.8 N... 68.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN


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