[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 14 13:43:06 CDT 2004


WTUS84 KLIX 141842
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-046>050-056>070-MSZ080>082-142130-

HURRICANE IVAN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
130 PM CDT TUE SEP 14 2004

...HURRICANE WATCH IS EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA.....
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE IVAN IN THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY INTENDED FOR THE RESIDENTS OF THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES IN LOUISIANA...ASCENSION...ASSUMPTION...
EAST BATON ROUGE...IBERVILLE...JEFFERSON...LAFOURCHE...LIVINGSTON...
ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...ST JAMES...ST JOHN
THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...TANGIPAHOA...TERREBONNE...WEST BATON
ROUGE.

AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...HANCOCK...HARRISON...
JACKSON.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI FROM MORGAN CITY EAST TO ST MARKS FLORIDA. THIS
INCLUDES THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA AND PARISHES
BOARDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR ALL OR A PORTION OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.

...STORM INFORMATION SUMMARY...
AT 100 PM CDT...HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED AT 23.7 NORTH AND
86.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 405 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO COAST. IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 9
MILES AN HOUR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MILES AN HOUR
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...IVAN REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN
MAJOR HURRICANES AND ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEVERAL PARISHES HAVE ISSUED EVACUATION ORDERS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
INCLUDING ORLEANS...JEFFERSON AND ST BERNARD. RESIDENTS SHOULD
MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA FOR EVACUATION ORDERS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY
AGENCIES.

IN COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...LOCAL GOVERNMENTS IN HARRISON...HANCOCK AND
JACKSON COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN MANY COASTAL
AND LOW LYING AREAS. PLEASE LISTEN TO LOCAL MEDIA AND CONSULT
LOCAL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCIES FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS. RESIDENTS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI
SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS.
RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN BY LOCAL AND
STATE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAYBE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

IVAN IS A VERY LARGE...DANGEROUS HURRICANE AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE. RESIDENTS WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WATCH SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY MEASURES TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
FROM A POTENTIAL STRIKE OF A MAJOR HURRICANE.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. DUE TO THE LARGE WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IVAN...TIDES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT EARLY WEDNESDAY WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE.
SOME TIDAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
EXTREME STORM SURGE VALUES OF 14 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS..AND LOCALLY TO NEAR 20 FT ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...MAY
OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKE LANDFALL.

ORLEANS LEVEE DISTRICT AND LAKE BORGNE LEVEE DISTRICT HAVE CLOSED
THE FLOOD GATES AT BAYOU BIENVENUE AND BAYOU DUPREE.

...WIND IMPACTS....
EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND OF 20 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE OVER COASTAL
AREAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM WINDS...WINDS OF 40 MPH OR
HIGHER...WILL SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS MID DAY WEDNESDAY...THEN
SPREAD INLAND. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE IVAN...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY SPREAD INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI WEDNESDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT.

...HEAVY RAINFALL...
HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED HURRICANE IVAN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OVER 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY...AND DEPENDENT ON THE LANDFALL OF HURRICANE
IVAN. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AT 430 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

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