[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WWCA31 TJSJ 141901
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-142230-

BULLETIN-IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
300 PM AST TUE SEP 14 2004

...TROPICAL STORM JEANNE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING CULEBRA
AND VIEQUES.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...FOR VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND FOR THE NORTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHEAST COASTS OF PUERTO RICO FROM FAJARDO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
THROUGH SALINAS.

SMALL CRAFT IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...WHILE SMALL CRAFT IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO
SHOULD NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION ACROSS PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

...STORM UPDATE...
AT 2 PM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX...140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST JOHN...140 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS...155 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VIEQUES...160 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CULEBRA OR ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN.

JEANNE WAS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT NEAR 10 MPH...16
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JEANNE IS FORECAST TO PASS IN THE VICINITY OF ST CROIX AROUND 8 PM
THIS EVENING...THEN PASS IN THE VICINITY OF VIEQUES AROUND 2 AM
WEDNESDAY...REACHING THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO BY AROUND 5
AM AND THEN TO A POSITION NEAR SAN JUAN AROUND 8 AM WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS ST CROIX THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON...REACHING 20 TO 30 MPH BY SUNSET AND THEN INCREASING
FURTHER TO SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN CONTINUE BEYOND
MIDNIGHT. OVER ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT SMALLER
ISLANDS...WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THE REST OF
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASE FURTHER TO 25 TO 45 MPH TONIGHT...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS AND SQUALLS AND OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THE REST OF
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS VIEQUES THEN SPREAD WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS
CULEBRA AND PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF
40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED ACROSS VIEQUES AND CULEBRA BY 10 PM
TONIGHT...SPREADING ACROSS THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN INTO SAN JUAN BY AROUND 2 AM WEDNESDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
COASTAL SEAS...SURF...AND TIDES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE
ANEGADA PASSAGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH SEAS LIKELY REACHING 8 TO
12 FEET AS JEANNE PASSES. BUILDING SURF AND TIDES OF 1 FOOT ABOVE
NORMAL WILL AFFECT THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT
AND THEN SPREAD TO THE SOUTHEAST...EAST...AND NORTHEAST COASTS OF
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. MARINERS ACROSS EASTERN
PUERTO RICO SHOULD RUSH STORM PREPARATIONS TO COMPLETION. PLEASE
REMEMBER...YOU SHOULD NEVER ATTEMPT TO RIDE OUT A TROPICAL STORM
ABOARD YOUR VESSEL!

...RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
THIS EVENING...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST...EAST AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF
PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO BUILDING WAVE ACTION AND
STRONG STORM FORCE WINDS. PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THE WATER
DURING THE PASSAGE OF JEANNE.

...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WEST
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND AT LEAST
THE EAST HALF OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND
WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT AND MORE INTENSE THIS EVENING...AND THEN
CONTINUE TO SHIFT NORTHWEST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA AND MOST OF PUERTO RICO BEGINNING THIS
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE PROBABILITY OF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING AND OR
RIVER FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH AS THE TROPICAL STORM MOVES TOWARD
AND THEN ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...
MUDSLIDES ARE PROBABLE OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM JEANNE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.

...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

        HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO WILL BE ISSUED BY 6
PM THIS EVENING.

SEELEY
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