[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 261946
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261946
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-262045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0981
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0246 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Areas affected...portions of the Ozarks...mid Mississippi River
Valley and western Tennessee Valley

Concerning...Outlook upgrade

Valid 261946Z - 262045Z

SUMMARY...Confidence has increased that severe storms capable of
strong tornadoes, very large hail, and intense damaging winds are
likely this afternoon and continuing into the evening. An upgrade to
a Tornado/Wind driven Moderate Risk is forthcoming at 20z.

DISCUSSION...Rapid air mass recovery is ongoing along a remnant
outflow boundary over portions of central and eastern MO, northeast
AR, southern IL/IN and western KY/TN. Confidence has increased in a
significant severe risk such that an upgrade to a categorical
Moderate Risk (15% Sig Tornado and 45% Sig Wind) will be forthcoming
at 20z. Please see MCD #980 for the relevant environmental
information and the upcoming 20z Convective Outlook for more
information.

..Lyons/Bentley.. 05/26/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   36109166 36349206 36789231 37279241 37559240 37989235
            38219226 38359195 38359171 38409044 38288937 38018791
            37878736 37588662 37218636 36688627 36248653 35968685
            35758733 35708859 35708956 35759055 35989134 36109166
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