[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 222257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222257
VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-230030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0901
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0557 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Areas affected...South-central Kentucky and northern middle
Tennessee

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 222257Z - 230030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail may
accompany a  bowing line segment across north-central middle TN and
south-central KY over the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows a bowing segment with a
descending RIJ progressing eastward across Overton County in TN.
Confidence in this feature maintaining its intensity over the next
few hours is low to moderate considering a weakly forced
environment, increasing CINH through evening, and downstream
low-level flow parallel to the convergence zone. Regardless,
extrapolation of this features may require a short-fused downstream
watch for damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph.

..Barnes/Thompson.. 05/22/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   35988469 36148488 36278486 36398469 36578472 36638489
            36628521 36668536 36928534 37288510 37358454 37348360
            36948332 36638363 36318362 36148371 35968385 35938423
            35988469
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