[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 222008
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222008
TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-222145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0895
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Areas affected...Western/Middle TN...Far Southwest/South-Central
KY...Northern MS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285...

Valid 222008Z - 222145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285
continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for damaging gusts and isolated hail continues from
western/middle Tennessee into southwest/south-central Kentucky, with
a corridor of greater potential for severe gusts from western into
northern middle TN. Additionally, a downstream watch with the next
hour.

DISCUSSION...Upscale growth/linear transition has occurred with the
cells that moved across far northeast AR into far western TN, with
the resulting convective line now moving eastward/northeastward
across western TN. Radar imagery shows a velocity signature
indicative of a rear-inflow jet , with limited reflective behind
this area indicative of a descending rear-inflow jet as well.
Expectation is for this line to progress northeastward, with the
ongoing storms preceding the line representing a favored corridor
for propagation. This corridor also represents an area for greater
damaging gust potential over the next hour or so. Overall
progression of this line will likely necessitate the need for a
downstream watch with the next hour.

Farther south, the ongoing cluster across far east-central
AR/northwest MS will continue to pose a risk for isolated hail and
damaging gusts as it moves gradually eastward across northern MS
this afternoon.

..Mosier.. 05/22/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36178974 36858831 37038587 35518568 35078736 34409025
            36178974
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