[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 171607
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171606
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-171730-

Mesoscale Discussion 1205
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1106 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2022

Areas affected...Middle and western Tennessee...northern Alabama and
Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382...

Valid 171606Z - 171730Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382
continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for damaging winds and isolated large hail
continues across the watch area, and a downstream watch is possible
by 18z across northern portions of Alabama and Georgia.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived severe MCS continues to move
south/southeast across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382 at 16z, with
more recent thunderstorm development along the gust front across
Middle TN aiding maintenance of strong/severe wind gust potential.
The downstream thermodynamic environment continues to destabilize,
and ample heating will result in strong instability by early
afternoon with MLCAPE in excess of 2500 J/kg. Based on current
trends, the risk for damaging winds and perhaps isolated large hail
may increase across northern portions of AL/GA, and a new downstream
Severe Thunderstorm Watch is possible prior to 18z.

..Bunting/Grams.. 06/17/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35828805 35928694 36188626 36408553 36288512 35318437
            34628415 34328441 34228547 34158643 34198696 34288745
            34578789 35538805 35828805
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