[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 171349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171348
KYZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-NCZ000-INZ000-171515-

Mesoscale Discussion 1204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0848 AM CDT Fri Jun 17 2022

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Kentucky...much of
Tennessee

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 381...

Valid 171348Z - 171515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 381
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging wind gusts continues within the
Severe Thunderstorm Watch area, and new downstream watches will be
needed soon.

DISCUSSION...A severe MCS continues to move east/southeast across
southern IN and western KY at 1345z, with recent reports of wind
damage and measured severe gusts.  The downstream environment will
continue to destabilize given strong daytime heating of a very moist
air mass characterized by surface dew points in the 70s and PW
values in excess of 1.75 inches.  Although deep-layer shear is
generally less than 25 kts, the established cold pool and continued
favorable thermodynamic environment with east/southward extent
suggests the severe threat will continue into the afternoon.  As a
result, one or two downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watches will be
needed soon.

..Bunting/Grams.. 06/17/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...
HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35328742 35758835 36258950 36878887 37008764 37328713
            38078667 38758657 38788563 38478352 38078272 37038254
            36168295 35578368 35318421 35018480 35108686 35328742
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