[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 090256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090255
TNZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-090400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0163
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 PM CST Wed Feb 08 2017

Areas affected...Eastern TN...northeast AL...northwest GA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31...

Valid 090255Z - 090400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 31
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat appears to be decreasing across ww31.  New
watch is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...Band of frontal convection has struggled to organize
and produce meaningful severe this evening.  While marginally severe
hail has been noted in some of the stronger updrafts, lapse rates do
not support particularly large hail given the observed
moisture/instability.  Current broken line of storms is progressing
east-southeast across the eastern part of the watch at roughly 30kt
and aside from locally strong wind gusts it appears this activity
should remain mostly sub-severe the rest of tonight.  New ww is not
anticipated.

..Darrow.. 02/09/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   33978836 36358706 36368309 33968452 33978836
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