[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT42 KNHC 021724
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Arlene Special Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022023
100 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023

Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that the
depression has strengthened into a tropical storm.  On the last leg
of the current mission, the aircraft found maximum 925
mb flight-level winds of around 50 kt and SFMR surface winds of
around 35 kt.  Based on these data, Tropical Depression Two has
been upgraded to Tropical Storm Arlene with estimated peak winds of
35 kt.

Although the storm has strengthened slightly, we still expect
Arlene to weaken soon due to increasing wind shear and dry air, and
no change has been made to the forecast.  The next forecast will be
issued at the normal time at 4 pm CDT.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  02/1800Z 26.7N  86.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  03/0000Z 25.6N  86.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  03/1200Z 24.2N  85.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
 36H  04/0000Z 23.2N  84.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hogsett/Delgado
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net