[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLCH 132104
HLSLCH
LAZ073-074-TXZ201-215-216-140515-

Tropical Storm Nicholas Local Statement Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL142021
404 PM CDT Mon Sep 13 2021

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**NICHOLAS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG CENTRAL TEXAS COAST
LATER TONIGHT... SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Orange

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Hardin and Orange
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Jefferson
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for West Cameron

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 250 miles southwest of Cameron LA or about 230 miles
      southwest of Beaumont TX
    - 27.4N 96.4W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 400 PM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Nicholas was located by
NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 27.4 North, longitude 96.4
West, or off of the central Texas Gulf coast.  Nicholas is moving
toward the north-northeast near 12 mph and this general motion is
expected to continue through tonight, followed by a turn toward the
northeast by late Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Nicholas is expected to make landfall along the central Texas
coast later tonight.

The threat of heavy rain will persist far ahead of
where the center makes landfall. Heavy rain will be a continued
possibility from this evening through at least the middle of
the week for southeast Texas and portions of southwest Louisiana.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across southeast Texas. Potential
impacts include:
    - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
      in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
      canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control
      systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
      routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
      with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
      dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
      or washed out.

Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across southwest Louisiana.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach westward.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to non-elevated structures is possible.
    - Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become weakened
      or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers. Several small
      craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected
      anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the coastline from Rutherford Beach to Intracoastal
City.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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