[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 11 18:23:15 CDT 2015


ABNT20 KNHC 112323
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on the
remnants of Tropical Storm Henri, which has dissipated several
hundred miles south of Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues
near the northern Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands in
association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace. Upper-level
winds are not expected to be favorable for redevelopment of this
system during the next several days. However, heavy rain and gusty
winds are possible across portions of the northern Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola as the system moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave located southeast of the Cape Verde Islands is
producing minimal shower activity.  Environmental conditions are
forecast to become favorable for some gradual development of this
wave by early next week while it moves generally westward across the
tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

A small low pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of
the Azores continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms.
Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven
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