[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 11 12:50:21 CDT 2015


ABNT20 KNHC 111750
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Henri, located several hundred miles south of Newfoundland.

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues
near the northern Leeward Islands in association with the remnants
of Tropical Storm Grace. Upper-level winds are not expected to be
favorable for redevelopment of this system during the next several
days. However, heavy rain and gusty winds are possible across
portions of the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola
for the next couple of days while the wave moves westward at 15 to
20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

A tropical wave located between west Africa and the Cape Verde
Islands is producing minimal shower activity.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to become favorable for some gradual
development of this wave by early next week while it moves generally
westward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

A small low pressure system located about 900 miles southwest of
the Azores continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms.
Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake
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