[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 260547
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING
CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS...NICARAGUA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. LITTLE
IF ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WHILE THE WAVE INTERACTS WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...AND AS IT MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BRING PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND
ADJACENT CARIBBEAN WATERS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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