[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 252349
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT JUN 25 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...HONDURAS...AND NICARAGUA. TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION IS UNLIKELY WHILE THE WAVE INTERACTS WITH THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH...AND WITH CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS WHERE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...AND ADJACENT
CARIBBEAN WATERS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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