[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 070537
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.  THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY
DISORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING LESS FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
JAMAICA...AND CUBA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
OR NORTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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