[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KAKQ 010625
HLSAKQ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
225 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE TURKS
AND CAICOS ISLANDS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER EASTERN
SHORE...INCLUDING THE VIRGINIA PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
CURRITUCK SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PASQUOTANK...CAMDEN...INLAND CURRITUCK...BERTIE...CHOWAN...
PERQUIMANS AND OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR CURRITUCK
SOUND...AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE
VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA BORDER.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5N...LONGITUDE 70.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 950 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA BORDER...OR ABOUT
930 MILES SOUTH...SOUTHEAST OF DUCK NC. STORM MOTION WAS NORTHWEST AT
15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AREA NEAR 135 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUST. HURRICANE EARL REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF NORTH CAROLINA OUTER
BANKS BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE MORE RAPIDLY TO THE
NORTHEAST. INCREASED WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY
BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...OR ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND ALBEMARLE SOUND...AND
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE VIRGINIA...NORTH CAROLINA
BORDER IN ADVANCE OF EARL...AS STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE
BREAKING WAVES CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION.
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

ANZ633-658-020630-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
TO 20 NM-
225 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS
ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE
PLANS TO LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 8 TO
15 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 56 PERCENT. THIS REPRESENTS A GENERAL
UPWARD TREND SINCE THE LAST FORECAST. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE THURSDAY EVENING TO EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD UP TO 17 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY MORNING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN THE NORTH
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA BORDER AND DUCK...WHILE WAVES IN THE
CURRITUCK SOUND ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD UP TO 3 FEET.

$$

NCZ102-020630-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-
225 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. FOR
INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 10 TO
12 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS 48 TO 51 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM LATE THURSDAY EVENING TO EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING. A GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT
LEAST MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA.
SINCE THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST
FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE EARL. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. AT THIS
TIME...THERE IS A GENERAL CONCERN FOR THE CHANCE OF AREAS OF
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING ON FRIDAY.

...COASTAL HAZARDS...
THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS STARTING WEDNESDAY
MORNING ALONG AREA BEACHES. BEACH GOERS ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF
THE WATER. BREAKING WAVES WILL REACH UP TO 17 FEET ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS AT THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH
EROSION IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THE BUILDING SURF.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR INLAND FLOODING AT THIS TIME...AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. BETWEEN
TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
POINT ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...WITH THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED CLOSER TO ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ015>017-020630-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
225 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. FOR
INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.


&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 5 TO
13 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 52 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
MOST LIKELY TO BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A
GENERAL CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST MINOR
DAMAGE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE AREA. SINCE THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY...CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE EARL. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 2 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE ALONG ALBEMARLE AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS. AT THIS TIME...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AREAS OF MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR INLAND FLOODING AT THIS TIME...AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. BETWEEN
TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
POINT ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...WITH THE HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED CLOSER TO ATLANTIC COAST.

$$

NCZ030>032-020630-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HU.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-
225 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. FOR
INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT
YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME IS 3 TO
10 PERCENT. ALSO...THE CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AT
THIS TIME IS UP TO 47 PERCENT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WOULD MOST
LIKELY BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING.

...WINDS...
AS HURRICANE EARL MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR SUSTAINED HIGH
WINDS IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. AT THIS POINT...THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE DURING LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
FORECAST AREA TO BE CAUSED BY HURRICANE EARL. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE
PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. GIVEN THE LATEST FORECAST...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
COMBINED STORM SURGE AND ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 2 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITHIN AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST...RESULTING
IN WORST CASE FLOOD INUNDATION OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE SURGE ZONE ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND. AT
THIS TIME...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AREAS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
ALONG THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

...INLAND FLOODING...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR INLAND FLOODING AT THIS TIME...AS THE
CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. BETWEEN
TWO AND FOUR INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS POINT
ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...WITH THE HIGHEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS EXPECTED CLOSER TO ATLANTIC COAST.

$$





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