[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 010646
HLSILM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE EARL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
246 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PERSONS IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
PENDER...NEW HANOVER.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY...TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WILMINGTON AROUND 6 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

NCZ097-101-020700-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.1007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
PENDER-NEW HANOVER-
246 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5N...LONGITUDE 70.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC. EARL WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AROUND 135 MPH.

...RIP CURRENTS...
LONG PERIOD THREE TO FOUR FOOT BREAKING WAVES FROM HURRICANE EARL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BEACHES. BREAKING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TODAY AND THURSDAY...REACHING CLOSE TO 10 FT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. PEOPLE AT THE BEACH ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF
THE WATER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR HOME FOR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS. DURING A TROPICAL STORM UNSECURED OBJECTS CAN BECOME
DANGEROUS PROJECTILES. STORE OR SECURE LAWN FURNITURE...BARBECUE
GRILLS...GARBAGE CANS...AND OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS. REALTY
SIGNS CAN ALSO POSE A SIGNIFICANT DANGER AND SHOULD BE PLACED DOWN
OR STORED INDOORS. BE SURE TO CHECK FOR ADEQUATE SUPPLIES OF
PRESCRIPTION MEDICINE AND HAVE WORKING FLASHLIGHTS WITH PLENTY OF
BATTERIES ON HAND. IF YOU CHOOSE TO USE CANDLES INSTEAD OF
FLASHLIGHTS DO NOT LEAVE THEM UNATTENDED AS THEY CAN START FIRES.
A LARGE NUMBER OF FATALITIES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORMS OCCUR
ONCE THE STORM HAS PASSED. ELECTROCUTION BY DOWNED POWER
LINES...CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM GENERATOR EXHAUST...FIRES
STARTED BY UNATTENDED CANDLES...AND HEART ATTACKS FROM STRENUOUS
CLEAN UP ACTIVITY ARE THE MOST COMMON DANGERS.

LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF
NECESSARY. HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING IS AROUND 35
PERCENT AND AROUND 5 PERCENT FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

...WINDS...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES
EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE
FORECAST TRACK REMAINS AND A WESTWARD SHIFT OF THE TRACK IN
SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE AREA. IF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS THURSDAY
MORNING. IF HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY
PERIOD OF ONSET IS THURSDAY EVENING. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT HEIGHTS OF COMBINED
STORM SURGE AND TIDE WATERS FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE PRECISE SIZE...INTENSITY AND TRACK OF
EARL. THE LATEST FORECAST PASSES EARL EAST OF THE AREA...LIMITING
STORM SURGE IMPACTS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR COMBINED STORM SURGE AND
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE WATERS UP TO 3 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

$$

AMZ250-020700-
/O.CON.KILM.TR.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
246 AM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 2 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5N...LONGITUDE 70.7W. THIS WAS ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NC. EARL WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AROUND 135 MPH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CONTINUE TO PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. IF YOU LIVE
ON A BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO
LEAVE IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. IF YOU PLAN TO REMOVE
YOUR BOAT FROM THE WATER AND MOVE IT INLAND NOW IS THE TIME TO DO
SO. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR
LATER TODAY AND REMAIN THERE UNTIL EARL PASSES. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING IS BETWEEN 40
AND 50 PERCENT AND AROUND 10 PERCENT FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS. IF
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WERE TO OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD
OF ONSET IS THURSDAY MORNING. IF HURRICANE CONDITIONS WERE TO
OCCUR...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD OF ONSET IS THURSDAY EVENING.
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

...WINDS AND SEAS...
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS ABOUT 180 MILES EAST OF THE
CAPE FEAR REGION. HOWEVER...THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY WITH
RESPECT TO THE FORECAST TRACK AND A WESTWARD SHIFT IN SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM AND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AFFECTING THE WATERS. MARINERS CAN EXPECT
WINDS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KT WITH GUSTS OVER 45 KT. SEAS WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY AND THURSDAY...REACHING 15 FT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

$$

III




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